His fixed lines
Out at 1.40, back at 1.28. The lines never move.
- Swap back at
- 1.28
- Swap out at
- 1.40
Waiting for prices
ALGO/HBAR ratio rotation · real daily data
Swap out when ALGO is pricey. Swap back when it's cheap.
Your friend's rule: when one ALGO buys 1.40 HBAR, swap everything into HBAR. When it only buys 1.28, swap back. First, where the ratio sits right now. Then the rule replayed day by day on the real numbers from your CSV: watch the coins move and count the ALGO at the end.
Live now · Binance spot prices
Where the ratio is right now
Loading prices…
1 ALGO =–HBAR
90-day median
–
of the daily closing ratio
Median +4% / −2%
Out at the 90-day median +4%, back at the median −2%. The lines move every day.
- Swap back at
- –
- Swap out at
- –
Waiting for prices
Median +6% / +2%
Out at the 90-day median +6%, back at the median +2%. Quicker trips, smaller gains each.
- Swap back at
- –
- Swap out at
- –
Waiting for prices
His 2,092,000 HBAR buys right now
– ALGO
He swapped in at about 1.41, from roughly 1,483,700 ALGO.
ALGO/USDT and HBAR/USDT last-trade prices from Binance, checked every 60 seconds. The median uses the previous 90 complete UTC days and leaves out today. Gains are before swap fees. These are rules tested on past prices (what the backtest says). It's history, not advice or a forecast.
1 Mar 2026
1 ALGO =0.88HBAR
ALGO is cheap: swap backALGO is pricey: swap out
Holding ALGO. Waiting for the ratio to climb to 1.40.
ALGO
1,000,000
HBAR
0
Each coin is 100,000. Start: 1,000,000 ALGO.
Stack in ALGO1,000,000+0.0%
In dollars$0Just holding ALGO: $0
Round trips0out to HBAR and back
Ratio, daily close
Still to come
Swap-out line
Swap-back line
Swapped into HBAR
Swapped back to ALGO
Swap log
| Date | Swap | Ratio | Coins |
|---|
The trick with 10 coins
Nobody hands you free coins. You just swap at the right moments.
1 · ALGO gets pricey
ratio 1.40 ↓ swap
You have 10 ALGO coins. Each one now buys 1.40 HBAR, so you swap them all.
10 × 1.40 = 14 HBAR
2 · Wait
1.40 → 1.36 → 1.31 → 1.28
Hold the HBAR. Prices going up or down doesn't matter. You only watch the ratio slide back toward normal.
3 · ALGO gets cheap again
ratio 1.28 ↓ swap back
Each ALGO now costs only 1.28 HBAR, so your 14 HBAR buys more ALGO than you sold.
14 ÷ 1.28 = 10.9 ALGO
Your friend's bag at any ratio
He holds 2,092,000 HBAR. He swapped in at about 1.41, from roughly 1,483,700 ALGO. Drag the ratio and see what that HBAR buys back.
2,092,000 HBAR buys
0 ALGO
+0
The catches
The rule works while the ratio keeps bouncing between about 1.2 and 1.4. Three ways it can go wrong.
The 1.2 "home" is only six months old
From March 2025 to March 2026 the ratio lived around 1.0. The rule sat still for a year, apart from one flash-crash spike on 10 Oct 2025.
If the ratio climbs and stays up, you're stuck
Holding HBAR while the ratio goes to 1.50 or higher means fewer ALGO than you started with. You either wait or take the loss.
More ALGO isn't more money
The rule counts coins, not dollars. Watch the "In dollars" box during the replay: the ALGO count climbs while the dollar value can still fall, because both coins dropped.
What the backtest says
The ratio's "normal" level keeps moving, so we also tested lines that move with it. Each multiple counts the ALGO you'd end with: ×1.90 means 1,000,000 ALGO became 1,900,000. Binance hourly closes, 0.2% charged per swap. Past prices only.
Unseen data · Jul 2025 to now
The median settings were picked on data from Nov 2019 to Jun 2025, then run on the months after it.
His 1.40 / 1.28×1.444 swaps out. 3 came back ahead, and the 4th is his open trade.
Median +4% / −2%×1.9087% win rate: 13 of 15 swaps out came back with more ALGO. Worst trip −13.5%.
Longer run · Jan 2024 to now
Close race, very different rides. The median settings were picked using data up to Jun 2025, so this window isn't fully unseen.
His 1.40 / 1.28×4.32The window opens with the ratio at 2.6, so the first trip alone made +109%. Also includes one 239-day wait, sitting at −40% on paper at the worst point.
Median +4% / −2%×4.20Longest wait 106 days. Worst dip while waiting −30%.
Why fixed lines go stale
Median of the hourly ratio, year by year (2019 starts in late September, 2026 runs to mid-October). The dashed line is his 1.40. Before 2025 the ratio spent most of its time far above it.