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ALGO/HBAR ratio rotation · real daily data
Swap out when ALGO is pricey. Swap back when it's cheap.
Your friend's rule, replayed day by day on the real numbers from your CSV. When one ALGO buys 1.40 HBAR, swap everything into HBAR. When it only buys 1.28, swap back. Watch the coins move and count the ALGO at the end.
1 Mar 2026
1 ALGO =0.88HBAR
ALGO is cheap: swap backALGO is pricey: swap out
Holding ALGO. Waiting for the ratio to climb to 1.40.
Each coin is 100,000. Start: 1,000,000 ALGO.
Swap log
| Date | Swap | Ratio | Coins |
|---|
The trick with 10 coins
Nobody hands you free coins. You just swap at the right moments.
ratio 1.40 ↓ swap
You have 10 ALGO coins. Each one now buys 1.40 HBAR, so you swap them all.
10 × 1.40 = 14 HBAR
1.40 → 1.36 → 1.31 → 1.28
Hold the HBAR. Prices going up or down doesn't matter. You only watch the ratio slide back toward normal.
ratio 1.28 ↓ swap back
Each ALGO now costs only 1.28 HBAR, so your 14 HBAR buys more ALGO than you sold.
14 ÷ 1.28 = 10.9 ALGO
Your friend's bag right now
He holds 2,092,000 HBAR. He swapped in at about 1.41, from roughly 1,483,700 ALGO. Drag the ratio and see what that HBAR buys back.
The catches
The rule works while the ratio keeps bouncing between about 1.2 and 1.4. Three ways it can go wrong.
The 1.2 "home" is only six months old
From March 2025 to March 2026 the ratio lived around 1.0. The rule sat still for a year, apart from one flash-crash spike on 10 Oct 2025.
If the ratio climbs and stays up, you're stuck
Holding HBAR while the ratio goes to 1.50 or higher means fewer ALGO than you started with. You either wait or take the loss.
More ALGO isn't more money
The rule counts coins, not dollars. Watch the "In dollars" box during the replay: the ALGO count climbs while the dollar value can still fall, because both coins dropped.